Home » 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Picks & Live Odds: Scheffler Favored in Austin

2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Picks & Live Odds: Scheffler Favored in Austin

Scottie Scheffler is 1-for-2 in his title defenses in 2023 and gets another opportunity at Austin CC after winning the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play a season ago. He’s sitting atop the betting board at +800 — see who trails him in our full odds below.

Last Updated:
Mar 21, 2023 6:01 PM ET

Read Time: 4 min

The PGA Tour’s next stop is a special one, heading to Austin Country Club for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play — the only one of its kind on the Tour calendar. 

Scottie Scheffler looks to successfully defend another title after doing so at the Waste Management Phoenix Open… and is entering the week at +800 solo betting favorite. 

We break down his chances and more in our WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play betting preview below, including outright odds, free golf picks, and more. 

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WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play picks and predictions

Rory McIlroy to win Group 3 (+125 at FanDuel)

Yes, going chalk in these groups is routinely a fast track to disaster, but there are just too many signs pointing toward Rory in this group, and with FanDuel giving me +125 as opposed to -105/-110 everywhere else, I’ll take the bait. 

Missing the cut at THE PLAYERS left a particularly sour taste in Rory’s mouth and I expect him to be motivated to make a deep run this week, especially with Scheffler and Rahm starting to separate themselves at the top. 

Bradley would be the biggest threat if not for his 1-12-6 solo match-play record, Stallings hasn’t been in the mix since Phoenix, and while Denny has played well of late, this will be his debut at Austin Country Club.

Rory’s made it out of his group three times in six starts dating back to his win in 2015 at TPC Harding Park but has an impressive 16-6-3 record over that span with a 34-18-4 mark for his career.

For perspective, Rahm is a +125 favorite in a group with Horschel, Mitchell, and Rickie. He’d trade places to be in Rory’s group every day of the week 

Tony Finau to win Group 10 (+162 at bet365)

Finau’s got just a 5-6-1 record here at Austin CC but landed himself in a group with two debutants and Bezuidenhout, who’s gone winless (0-5-1) here over the last two years.

It’s been a little while since Tony has threatened another win but his consistency simply hasn’t wavered. He hasn’t finished worse than T24 since his win at the Houston Open back in November. 

The ball-striking has been as good as anyone this season — ranking fourth in total strokes gained and fourth on approach — and the rest of his game has been extremely complimentary. 

Some may look to Kurt here after winning at Bay Hill but I wouldn’t hold my breath considering that win is sandwiched between two missed cuts. Give me Tony in what could be one of the easier groups to escape this week.  

Odds to win 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play field and favorites

It may be a different format this week, but it’s the same three names at the top of the betting board. That starts with defending champion Scottie Scheffler, who went 3-0-0 in his group a year ago before taking down Dustin Johnson (3&1) and Kevin Kisner (4&3) in the elimination bracket. 

As per usual, Rahm and Rory round out the Top 3 at +1,100 apiece. Rory holds a 34-18-4 career match-play record and won this event in 2015, albeit at TPC Harding Park before the event moved to Austin CC in 2016.

The top of the board is otherwise filled with a plethora of Team U.S.A. members, from Patrick Cantlay (+1,800) and Xander Schauffele (+2,500) to Jordan Spieth (+2,500) and Max Homa (+2,000).

Two-time winner Jason Day is on the board at 40/1 while last year’s runner-up and 2019 champ Kevin Kisner is also available at +11,000.

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WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play recent winners and odds history

Let’s take a look at some recent WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play winners and their closing odds to win:

Year Golfer Closing odds
2022 Scottie Scheffler +2,000
2021 Billy Horschel +8,000
2020 No event: COVID-related cancelation.  N/A
2019 Kevin Kisner +6,000
2018 Bubba Watson +5,000
2017 Dustin Johnson +800
2016 Jason Day (2) +1,200
2015 Rory McIlroy +1,000
2014 Jason Day +1,500
2013 Matt Kuchar +3,000
2012 Hunter Mahan +4,000
2011 Luke Donald +3,000
2010 Ian Poulter +3,000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds FAQs

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