Our Eagles vs. Chiefs parlay predictions based on the best NFL odds expect Kansas City’s inconsistent offense to put the defending champs in danger in a Super Bowl rematch.
A Super Bowl rematch between the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) and Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) goes down at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday night. After Kansas City got the better of Philadelphia in February’s big game, can the Eagles rebound in this one to reinforce their championship aspirations?
For our complete betting coverage of this Monday Night Football matchup, check out our Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, Eagles vs. Chiefs player props, Eagles vs. Chiefs expert picks, Jalen Hurts player props, A.J. Brown player props, Patrick Mahomes player props, and Travis Kelce props ahead of kickoff.
Here are our best Eagles vs. Chiefs parlay predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Eagles vs. Chiefs parlay for MNF
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Eagles +3 (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Under 46 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Travis Kelce Under 75.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +460 via DraftKings
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SGP predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs
Eagles +3 (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Eagles have been the best team in the NFL against the spread this season, logging a 5-2-2 ATS record. On the road, Philly has been even stronger, posting a 3-1-1 ATS mark away from home.
It’s more impressive when you consider that Philadelphia has done all of this as a favorite in each game. Monday night will be the Eagles’ first opportunity as an underdog this season. While Kansas City has been strong against the spread at home (3-1 ATS) and overall (6-3 ATS), I’m siding with the Eagles as a result of the puzzling line.
While home-field advantage is typically worth two or three points in the NFL, I’m thrilled to get a bonus field goal of value on what could genuinely be the better football team. DraftKings has the line up to Eagles +3, while FanDuel still has the line at +2.5.
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Under 46 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The number isn’t what we’d like it to be, even a push to 46.5 would be a godsend, with the ability to sneak Under 47 as the most ideal spot to see this total. But the Chiefs haven’t had the explosiveness offensively of last year’s Super Bowl team, as receiving threats beyond Travis Kelce have been hard to find.
The Chiefs do have the second-ranked scoring defense in the NFL, however, allowing just 15.9 points per game on the season. Their surprising defensive acumen combined with an ability to sustain long drives to bleed time off the clock has led to a 2-7 record for the Over in Chiefs games this season. Philadelphia’s slight trend toward Overs (5-4 this season) isn’t enough to overcome the style the Chiefs have deployed in most of their games.
With the number slowly creeping up as the game approaches on Monday, we like the value of a much tighter game than we saw in the Super Bowl. We like this one to be played in the low 20s on both sides.
Kelce Under 75.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
With how lean the receiving corps in Kansas City has been behind him, it’s difficult to imagine Travis Kelce being held down for too many weeks in a row. But this receiving total in the mid-70s is a mark that Kelce hasn’t reached over his last two outings combined.
The Eagles have allowed fewer than 50 yards per game to the tight end position so far this season. Kelce cleared this mark against the Eagles in the Super Bowl, logging six catches for 81 yards and a touchdown. But it seems his efficiency has declined during this campaign. Kelce has cleared 70 receiving yards just twice in eight games played.
DraftKings lists Kelce’s receiving total at 75.5 yards, while FanDuel has the line at 76.5 yards. Because game lines and overall parlay odds are more favorable with DraftKings (+460 (compared to +432 at FanDuel), we’ll suck it up with the slightly lesser Kelce line by playing this SGP at DraftKings.
Eagles-Chiefs parlay picks made 11/20/2023 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
NFL betting odds pages
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