Heat vs. Knicks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Julius Randle and the New York Knicks (42-31) have an opportunity to secure an upset victory when they hit the court as just 1.5-point underdogs against Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (39-34) on Wednesday. A point total of 220 is set for the game.

Heat vs. Knicks Odds

Heat odds to win: -123
Knicks odds to win: +103
Spread: Heat (-1.5)
Total: 220

Heat vs. Knicks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
TV: BSSUN and MSG

Who Will Win Heat vs. Knicks?

Heat and Knicks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 15-32-4 record against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.

The Knicks are 19-16-1 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.

These two teams average a combined 224.4 points per game, 4.4 more points than the over/under of 220 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.1 more points per game (222.1) than this game’s over/under of 220 points.

The Heat’s average point total in outings this year is 218.5, 1.5 points fewer than the total in this game.

The average total for New York’s games this season is 8.0 more points than the point total of 220 in this outing.

Miami has a 26-43-4 record against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Knicks have put together a 41-31-1 record against the spread.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have a -36 scoring differential, putting up 109.0 points per game (30th in the league) and allowing 109.5 (second in the NBA).

The 40.9 rebounds per game the Heat average rank 28th in the NBA. Their opponents record 41.9 per outing.

Miami hits 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (13.2). It is shooting 33.8% from deep (28th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.9%.

The Heat rank 26th in the NBA with 109.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and seventh in the league defensively with 110.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Heat’s offense has been much better in home games (110.5 PPG) compared to road games (107.5 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better in home games (109.2 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (109.9 PPG allowed).

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks’ +202 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 115.4 points per game (13th in NBA) while giving up 112.6 per contest (10th in league).

New York wins the rebound battle by 4.3 boards on average. It collects 46.8 rebounds per game, third in the league, while its opponents pull down 42.5.

The Knicks hit 12.4 three-pointers per game (12th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.9 on average.

The Knicks record 114.4 points per 100 possessions (sixth in league), while allowing 111.2 points per 100 possessions (11th in NBA).

New York is scoring more points at home (116.6 per game) than away (114.1).

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat get 21.1 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists from Adebayo.

Jimmy Butler contributes with 6.1 boards and 5.1 assists per game in addition to his 22.7 PPG scoring average.

The Heat get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Tyler Herro.

Butler averages 1.9 steals per game, while Adebayo has 0.9 blocks per contest.

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Randle has the top Knicks spot in two categories among active players: scoring (25.6 points per game) and rebounding (10.2 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 4.1 assists per contest.

Jalen Brunson’s per-game averages this season are 23.8 points, 6.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds.

Randle averages 2.9 made threes per game.

The Knicks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Josh Hart’s 1.1 steals and Mitchell Robinson’s 1.6 blocks per game.