Home » Pelicans vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Pelicans vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 21, 2023

The New Orleans Pelicans (34-37) enter their game against the San Antonio Spurs (19-52) on March 21, 2023 as double-digit favorites. New Orleans is favored by 11 points. The matchup’s point total is 235.5.

Pelicans vs. Spurs Odds

  • Pelicans odds to win: -595
  • Spurs odds to win: +441
  • Spread: Pelicans (-11)
  • Total: 235.5

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Tuesday, March 21, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV: BSNO and BSSW

Who Will Win Pelicans vs. Spurs?

Pelicans and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 11-point favorites this season, the Pelicans are 1-1 against the spread.

In games they have played as at least 11-point underdogs this season, the Spurs are 7-6 against the spread.

The Pelicans and the Spurs combine to average 8.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 235.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 235.5 points per game, the same as this matchup’s total of 235.5 points.

The Pelicans’ average point total in matchups this season is 227.3, 8.2 points less than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under in San Antonio’s games this season is 0.6 fewer points than the point total of 235.5 in this outing.

So far this season, New Orleans has compiled a 32-38-1 record against the spread.

The Spurs are 30-41-0 against the spread this year.

Pelicans Stats & Insights

The Pelicans average 113.9 points per game (16th in the league) while allowing 113.4 per outing (15th in the NBA). They have a +38 scoring differential overall.

The Pelicans rank 15th in the league at 43.4 rebounds per game. That’s 1.1 more than the 42.3 their opponents average.

New Orleans makes 10.9 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (12.2).

The Pelicans rank 21st in the NBA with 111.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth in the league defensively with 110.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

So far in the 2022-23 season, the Pelicans are scoring 0.8 more points per home game on average than on the road (114.3 at home, 113.5 on the road), but are allowing 6.3 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110.2 at home, 116.5 on the road).

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs put up 112.8 points per game (22nd in league) while allowing 122.1 per contest (30th in NBA). They have a -660 scoring differential and have been outscored by 9.3 points per game.

San Antonio loses the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. It grabs 43.5 rebounds per game (14th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.6.

The Spurs hit 11 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.3 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 34.8% from deep (23rd in NBA) and opponents are shooting 39.2%.

The Spurs rank 29th in the NBA with 107.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 30th defensively with 117.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

San Antonio averages 114.2 points per game at home, and 111.1 on the road.

Pelicans Key Players to Watch

CJ McCollum leads active Pelicans’ players in points and assists per game, scoring 21.1 points and distributing 6 assists.

Jonas Valanciunas contributes with 9.7 boards and 1.6 assists per game in addition to his 14.2 PPG scoring average.

The Pelicans get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of McCollum.

Herbert Jones averages 1.7 steals per game, while Valanciunas swats 0.6 shots per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Keldon Johnson has been among the team’s best in both scoring (21.8 points per game) and rebounding (five rebounds per game) while adding 2.9 assists per contest.

Tre Jones has per-game averages of 12.5 points, 6.3 assists and 3.5 rebounds this season.

Johnson knocks down 2.1 threes per game.

The Spurs’ defensive effort gets a lift from Tre Jones (1.3 steals per game) and Keita Bates-Diop (0.3 blocks per game).

Pelicans vs. Spurs Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Pelicans (- 11)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (235.5)

  • Prediction:
    Pelicans 121 – Spurs 110

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