Western Conference foes looking to finish in the top six in the conference to avoid the Play-In Tournament meet on Wednesday when the Golden State Warriors battle the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors (37-36), who are sixth in the West, are 24-20 against conference opponents in 2022-2023. The Mavericks (36-36), who are seventh in the conference, are 27-22 vs. the West. Dallas is also 22-14 on its home court, while Golden State is just 8-29 on the road.

Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Dallas leads the all-time regular-season series 90-81, and has won six of the last eight meetings. The Warriors are 2-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 234. Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 23 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 69-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Mavericks vs. Warriors:

• Warriors vs. Mavericks spread: Warriors -2
• Warriors vs. Mavericks over/under: 234 points
• Warriors vs. Mavericks money line: Warriors -130, Mavs +110
• GS: The Warriors are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games following an ATS win
• DAL: The Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall
• Warriors vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Mavericks can cover

Point guard Luka Doncic, who suffered a thigh injury, is questionable for Wednesday’s game. If he can’t go, Dallas will look to lean on forward Christian Wood, who is coming off a 20-point performance in Monday’s loss at Memphis. He scored 28 points and grabbed 13 rebounds in a 137-128 overtime win at San Antonio on March 15. In 59 games, including 17 starts, Wood is averaging 17.2 points, 7.7 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.1 blocks in 26.8 minutes.

Also helping power Dallas is small forward Tim Hardaway Jr. He has been dominant against the Warriors this season. In two games against Golden State, he is averaging 22 points, four rebounds and two assists. He scored 12 points and grabbed four rebounds against the Lakers in Los Angeles on Friday. He had 23 points, six rebounds, two assists and two blocks at Memphis on March 11. In 65 games, including 40 starts, Hardaway averages 14 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists in 30.2 minutes.

Why the Warriors can cover

Point guard Stephen Curry has been on fire. He scored 30 points, grabbed seven rebounds and dished out five assists in Monday’s win at Houston. He scored 50 points, dished out six assists and grabbed two rebounds in a 134-126 loss to the Clippers on March 15. He has been solid against the Mavericks. In two games this season against Dallas, Curry is averaging 26.5 points, 6.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds in 31.5 minutes.

Shooting guard Klay Thompson has also been red hot. In the win at Houston earlier this week, he scored 29 points, while grabbing seven rebounds. He had 38 points and five boards in a 123-112 win over Phoenix on March 13. In 61 games, all starts, Thompson is averaging 22 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 32.9 minutes. He has reached double figures in 57 games, including 33 games in which he scored 20 or more. Thompson has two double-doubles on the year.

How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 244 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.